I understand Frances is without Internet right now, or she was earlier today.
They are now talking a nice accumulation of snow, although the amount changes based on which weather site and/or weather person you believe.
Here's the site for our weather:
Pacific Northwest: covers NW Oregon and SW Washington:
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/pqr/
Local forecast:
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?l...72#.UqD4lGRDt74
And they just issued a Winter Storm Warning for us:
QUOTE
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM PST FRIDAY FOR
THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM PST
FRIDAY.
* TIMING...BEGINNING AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...MOST LIKELY AROUND1
OR 2 AM FRIDAY...AND DECREASING FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* SNOW LEVELS...NEAR THE SURFACE
* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH AREAS NEAR 4 INCHES.
* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND ICY.
We have provisions on hand and if the power goes, we do have propane for the fireplace and a propane cooker, so we don't have to try to go down the hill.
Water has an amazing quality of requiring a lot of energy to change its normal liquid state, to either a solid or a gaseous condition. So, even though the temps have been below freezing for about 18 hours, there is still not ice on the pond. I suspect the surface temp may be ~40 and we are going to have little Sun and more low temps, mostly above 20°F. Not much wind either, that can increase the surface area with the little waves as well as disturbing the air right at the surface of the water. I'm sure there will be ice on the pond before we get back to normal temps, of course.
Now, I don't plan on joining the fish for a swim for several months, but I haven't seen any fish-made signs asking for heat yet. 
"Water-proof fire place log" sounds like a great idea... from M$ or maybe some government bureau!


Our Crepe Myrtle chandelier
(Just a few feet from the pond, BTW)